fold equity formula. The classical definition of fold equity is: EV = (how often they fold x size of the pot). fold equity formula

 
 The classical definition of fold equity is: EV = (how often they fold x size of the pot)fold equity formula The current market value per Umberland share is $150

It’s that simple! Let’s look at an example to calculate the poker equity using the rule of 4 and 2. 099 x $5 = $. You use fold equity when playing with a shorter-than-ideal stack, or when you don’t have the best hand equity. Fold Equity. Aug 22, 2012 The difference is that rather than considering our pot-equity to obtain values of P (winning) and P (losing) we will consider our fold-equity. It equates to: Break even bluffing formula . As a result, BB needs to overfold significantly on this flop. Fold Equity: The Importance of Semi-Bluffing. Outright Profitable Bluffing. The SlotsSpot team supports the people of Ukraine. It is the most important of total remuneration earned by the Fund manager. 00 and is all-in, Hero? Step 1: Calculate the required equity. BB’s MDF says. The easiest way to get your equity is to remember this simple rule: On the flop, multiply your outs by four. 5. If you go all in for another $100 and your opponent folds, you win the entire pot of $100, which is 114% of your equity. 65 = 0. Fold Equity = of Your Opponent Folding X Opponent#x27;s Hand Equity = 70 X 78. For a 0% equity bluff to be profitable, for example, your fold equity must be higher than the risk-to-reward ratio of your bet. The balance between collecting on fold equity and equity realization is a constant struggle for good players and something you will need to actively work on. To calculate the actual fold equity, you must first assign a range to your opponent. The poker term for this is ‘fold equity’. We’ll refer to this number as the final pot. This equity becomes an asset as it is something that a homeowner can borrow against if need be. For this example, Company XYZ’s total assets (current and non-current) are valued $50,000, and its total shareholder (or owner) equity amount is $22,000. Also called the balance sheet or accounting equation, the shareholder equity equation is one of the most critical tools. Fold equity is a more elusory concept because we can’t truly know how often our opponent will fold. The formula to work it out is as follows: Fold equity = (probability opponent will fold) x (opponent’s equity in the hand) Imagine you are playing against your friend Cool Hand Joe. Antes are 1, and it is a 10-handed table, so one round of antes is 10 chips. 8 = 0. If it pays $900 to redeem a $1,000 bond, then cash will fall by $900, but long-term debt will decline by $1,000, leaving stockholders' equity to rise by the difference of $100. or just $240 (the pot)Let’s say Player 1 leads out with a bet of 9,000, into a pot of 7,500, and Player 2 folds. Definition of fold equity. Chúng ta càng có nhiều fold equity tại pre-flop và post-flop, chúng ta càng nên nghiêng về phía nên ISOLATE với điều kiện là hai yếu tố khác của chúng ta không phải là quá xấu. Situations Where You Probably Have Fold Equity. 34. 05 + 1/6 * 0. With this formula, the money won and lost will remain constant, but changes in ranges and frequencies can alter the outcome a ton. the opponents entire betting range. PIK Interest = PIK Interest Rate (%) x Beginning of Period Balance of PIK Debt. GGpoker. Of course, this could hardly be further from the truth, as poker is a complex game that requires a whole range of skills to be truly successful. The formula for calculating stockholders' equity is: Stockholders' Equity = Total assets – Total Liabilities. Also Read: How to Use Fold Equity in Poker. The formula for risk-to-reward ratio as the bettor looks like this: Risk-to-Reward Ratio = [Bet Size / (Bet Size + Pot Size Before the Bet)] x 100 It is the equity a player can expect to gain due to the opponent folding to his or her bets. The company's balance sheet lists both the total liabilities and shareholders' equity, which are necessary for this calculation. So if the actual fold equity is 40% or higher, you can profitably continuation bet. Meanwhile, your opponent's equity is $88. FLOP. g. After all, if our EV if we get called is greater than 0 we won't even need fold equity to make a profitable bet (it only helps make the bet even more profitable). La forma de cálculo de la fold. Fold equity คือโอกาสที่ผู้เล่นจะ fold เมื่อเจอ bet หรือ raise เช่น ถ้ามีโอกาสที่คู่แข่งจะ fold เมื่อเจอ bet ใน pot $100 อยู่ 33% เราจะมี fold equity 33% (เท่ากับ $33) ใน. Pot equity: Since you almost certainly have the best hand, this means you have the most equity in the pot. Poker Equity - What is Poker Equity. For games with more than 2. It doesn't bother demonstrating how to and why to use it, it doesn't give any. Poker Equity Formula - 2022 Game Online! Most Exciting Online Slots. 8 million The owner's equity for Norman's business = $1. 35. , 50% equity of a $20 pot is $10), but that amount can change if the pot does — equity technically solely depends on the cards. Equity Value = +302,080,060. 36 / 2. For example, if there’s a 33 percent chance your opponent will fold to a bet in a $100 pot, you have 33% fold equity (worth $33) in that pot. , 50% equity of a $20 pot is $10), but that amount can change if the pot does — equity technically solely depends on the cards. Terjemahan frasa HAVE FOLD EQUITY dari bahasa inggris ke bahasa indonesia dan contoh penggunaan "HAVE FOLD EQUITY" dalam kalimat dengan terjemahannya:. " 1) Calculate your current total equity in dollars. ($256 + $340 * 2 + $130) * 10% - $340. Therefore, it has 0% equity in the. (That is. It can be used to determine the profitability of a company or to determine an investor’s stake of ownership. Fold equity is a concept in poker strategy that is especially important when a player. Minimum Defence Frequency (MDF) 25% (1/4-pot) 80%. , common stock, additional paid-in capital, retained earnings. What is considered a “good” ROE will depend on what the median range is for the firm’s peers. If our opponent is folding 50% of the time P(winning) = 50% or 0. its true the equity value that needs to be used in the equation to determine the equilibrium folding percentage(or minimum FE percentage) is an estimate of the equity hero has vs. 55% plus 33% is. Let us say that you have 0% equity going all-in with 100 into a pot of 100. The formula for equity ratio can be derived by using the following steps: Step 1: Firstly, determine the total equity of the company. 901 x -$5 = -$4. Nearly every bet we make in poker has something to do with fold equity. 85 = 382. Equity may also be referred to as net worth or capital. You can either 4-bet, call, or fold. Fold Equity = Chance of your opponent folding x your hand equity. Carried interest, also known as “carry,” is the share of the profit earned by a Private equity fund or fund manager on the exit of investment done by the fund. 7). 0. Step 2: Finally, the. Allgemeinverständlicher gesagt: Fold Equity bedeutet, dass wir uns darüber Gedanken machen, wie groß. Using the dividend capitalization model, the cost of equity formula is: Cost of equity = (Annualized dividends per share / Current stock price) + Dividend growth rate. Poker Fold Equity Calculator, Slot 999 Dua Ng A, Harrahs Casino Maricopa Jobs, Agua Caliente Casino Bradley Fight, Loan Sites In Canada, Pg Poker, Dvi No Slot harmoni4d2 4. While they may seem like profitable hands to push at any stack depth under 15bb, they are not. If the current market price of the stock is less than $62. Sqrt(62. Here's the debt-to-equity formula: Debt-to-equity ratio = Total liabilities / Total shareholders' equity. The formula is as follows: ROE = Net income / Shareholders' equity. Shareholders' Equity = Total Assets – Total Liabilities. formula 1 api json; punishment for disrespecting parents in islam; rocksy light. value; n = number of years; The investor will compare both investment options by analyzing the interest rate or the final equity value with the same initial equity. e. 25, y multiplicamos el resultado x 100 =. The net profit margin (NPM. In hold'em, there are 1,326. How to Calculate Expected Value. M = Stack Size / (BB + SB + One Full Round of Antes) For example, you have a stack of 2000 chips. 6 * $0) = $120 + 0 = $120. How much fold equity do I need? I can win at showdown 10% at best. Cost of Equity = Risk-free rate + Beta (Equity Risk Premium) The first company I would like to explore is Google (GOOG). Fold Equity: This concept is the equity you gain in a hand whenever you can get an opponent to fold, and the impact that this can have is massive! Imagine that you have 87s and your. Return on Equity (ROE) is the measure of a company’s annual return ( net income) divided by the value of its total shareholders’ equity, expressed as a percentage (e. Now, we can make a more precise, quantitative statement about our realization or R. MAKE: 0. That keeps the offense’s best playmaker in the fold but avoids a long-term investment in a player with an extensive injury history. Share Capital + Retained Earnings. Let's take a look at Gathy's then Reixack's decisions on the flop. 66 = $97. Let’s say we face a 2/3rds pot cbet OOP on the flop. Annualized Rate of Return. 08. Example: We have 110 combinations on the following Flop: We have to defend 67 %. the total current pot), minus the equity resulting in case your opponent(s) call your raise (i. Gathy limps holding A♣ Q ♦ and Reixack checks the 2 ♦ 5 ♥ in the BB with a 20bb (M8) stack. EV2 = (0. The more chips you bet, the more fold equity you can gain. That's $90. EV = (%W * $187) – (%L * $125) %W in this spot is how often the button would fold against our bet. LA FOLD EQUITY. The fold equity equation is a simple calculation that involves two main components: the likelihood your opponent folds and the potential gain in equity if they do fold. Online Poker has hit a real boom, and the new wave of poker players has brought with it a deeper understanding of poker strategy. The concept of fold equity has always been with us, though its name is somewhat new. Firstly let’s remind ourselves of the EV formula from the first article: The difference is that rather than considering our pot-equity to obtain values of P(winning) and P(losing) we will consider our fold-equity. In spots like this you make an assumption of how often the button would fold when you bluff. 85 12. Because you have to put in a bet size of one and there’s two already in the pot. Fold Equity หรือ โอกาสที่อีกฝ่ายจะหมอบ เป็นแนวคิดที่ค่อนข้างง่ายแต่สำคัญต่อการเล่นมาก และการที่เราจะ Bluff ให้เก่งเราต้องเข้าใจมัน. (Of course only. Além disso, obtenha o código HTML pronto para usar para uma calculadora de fold equity com botões clicáveis. Eureka we have found the answer, fold equity is -79%. We Cbet $160. Fold equity is an estimate of how often an opponent might fold. Finding the percentage "card equity". The Gordon Growth Model would be ($5 / (10% - 2%) = $62. Discover the best slot machine games, types, jackpots, FREE games1) Villain folds. Here are the formulas used to calculate each:. 21 = . Method #1 – Dividend Discount Model. Everything else is just a product of that. Your opponent goes ahead and bets $10 making the pot $20. There are some truly advanced formulas out there which are only decipherable by advanced mathematicians, and there are simplified formulas meant to be used by anyone; there are even online calculators that you can use. You are dealt 6♣ 6♥, while Joe is dealt J♠ 10♦. It is based on the probability that a player will have the best hand after the cards are dealt. This formula can be calculated in any of three formats: Hand vs Hand; Hand vs Range; Range vs Range; Table of Contents. 8 million Total liabilities are calculated by. It doesn't bother demonstrating how to and why to use it, it doesn't give any. If other players have raised or limped before you, your fold equity is greatly. You still have just 88% equity, but there is now $300 in the pot, so that 88% is worth $264. 7 folds, Hero raises $0. Equity Formula Definition | How to Calculate Total Equity?. It is the added equity you gain when you believe that there is a possibility of your opponent folding his hand. La ecuación de Raúl es correcta, sin embargo tiene una forma de expresarla que no me gusta. The share price is the latest. The more connected your 2 cards are, the more equity your hand will realize. Related Post: Chart of Required Fold Equity. An important thing to mention here is that sometimes we can encounter a fold equity equation that follows the formula: [the probability of opponent folding] * [opponent’s equity in the hand]. Good opponents will usually have a fold to continuation bet somewhere around 42%–57% at the lower stakes. Fold Equity Formula X = Breakeven Folding Frequency P = Current Size of the Pot L = Maximum Loss W = Maximum Gain V = Villain's Equity H = Hero's Equity 0 = XP + (1 - X)(-LV + WH) 5 II Chapter 3: Combinatorics. Although the concept is pretty simple, it’s not that easy to know when to apply fold equity. 6 stars — 1982 reviews…Our Planet 7 Casino review shows that they shower new players with promotions, almost to the point of being overwhelmed. Your equity ratio is then 64-36 (64 times you don't make your hand; 36 times you do). 6591 x -$154 = -$101. I. Positive Stockholder’s Equity represents the healthy company, and negative Stockholder’s Equity represents the weak health of the company. If your range consisted of 30. If your opponent calls, that is better yet. You open 2. Technically speaking, if you think your opponent will fold 20% of the time in. Subscribe to Updates Get the latest creative news from FooBar about art, design and business. The soundest way of incorporating growth into value is to make it endogenous, i. If you don’t have the right express odds to call, you should take one of the following three actions: Fold; Raise (to take down the pot immediately by getting your opponent to fold) Call based on implied odds. 2. FORMULA: Initial Pot Size / (Initial pot Size + New Bet Size) Bet Size as % of Pot. You risk $1 in order to win $1. the opponents shove-calling range and not the equity hero has vs. Meanwhile, in DuPont analysis, a technique for evaluating financial performance developed by the chemical firm for its internal financial review, the equity multiplier plays a significant role. g. So if the value of fold equity is high, but you do not have a nut advantage. How much fold equity do I need? I can win at showdown 10% at best. Here’s what the r-squared equation looks like. The maths is correct. Without much fold equity, we only have pot equity and this is best realized with position. Total bluff = no (or very little) chance of winning the hand if called. chicken ranch casino menu, whatt slot machines are at the escanaba casino, fotos de poker graciosas, 888 poker convert points, jeux casino pyramide, casino. CO c-bets 33% pot. As explained in the 2nd link (2nd hand example), I'm check-raised on the flop and want. It is the aggregate of common equity, preferred equity, retained earnings, additional paid-in capital, etc. IsolatingI hear Doug Polk use these all the time but I’m still struggling to grasp the concept(s). Discover the strategic advantage of fold equity in bluffing and semi-bluffing with the power of mathematical calculations. In order to work out what your fold equity is you need to understand what the probability that your opponent will fold is. Firstly, it’s an EV equation, not an equity equation. You want to get value out of your good hands. 3-Bet = Value. Situations Where You Probably Have Fold Equity. Required equity = price of calling / (pot size + price of calling)Here's the formula: Shareholder equity = total assets - total liabilities. The. Russia started a war of conquest not only against Ukraine and its civilian people, but also against democratic values, human rights and freedoms! Together with you, we can have a direct impact on the ongoing events, and help the fearless and strong people of Ukraine. Mỗi doanh nghiệp khi đi vào hoạt động đều cần có một lượng vốn nhất định và được hình thành từ các nguồn khác nhau. As a general rule, off-suit hands will struggle more to realize their equity by around 10-15%, while suited hands will only lose around 5-10% of their equity. 9 million = $1. Fold equity is a concept in poker strategy that is especially important when a player becomes short-stacked in a no limit or possibly pot limit tournament. g. In such situations, it is better to prioritize using semi-bluffs rather than relying on bare Fold-Equity. Checking and calling inherently offer no fold equity, because your opponent will not fold to those actions. $62. Therefore, Adam realized a 35% return on his shares over the two-year period. Fold Equity Refinements Blockers & Card Removal Backdoor Draws Advanced EV Formula Game Theory 101 ICM Probabilities Common Probabilities Variance & Results Entering Pots Preflop Being Table Captain Flop Dynamics Types of Flops Streets of Value Cognition 101 Professionalism Writing & Saving Your HandsAn important thing to mention here is that sometimes we can encounter a fold equity equation that follows the formula: [the probability of opponent folding] * [opponent’s equity in the hand]. Firstly, what is folding? Folding is the process of handing in your cards to. To calculate the. read more. Breakdown of the Formula. From there, the formula has to determine how much equity each player has in second place money ($36). 9%. An important thing to mention here is that sometimes we can encounter a fold equity equation that follows the formula: [the probability of opponent folding] * [opponent’s equity in the hand]. Check out some valuable tips and tricks to help improve you poker skills by Big Stack UniversityROE measures the profits made for each dollar from common shareholders’ equity. 495 = . 50, the model indicates that the stock is undervalued. It is usually expressed as a percentage (e. 1: when they do call, you can lose more than your initial 3bet usually, since postflop they can have a strong range. Players use the expected value formula to quickly calculate if they should bet, check or fold. Hi, I just tried deriving a formula for how much fold equity we need for a bluff to be profitable: legend: FE: fold equity e: equity We assume t. The. Kioutsoukof-tm-cVvCqDef. One of the most important concepts that most amateur tournament poker players are unaware of is Fold Equity. Analysts also use this ratio to understand the. A ratio less than 1 implies that the assets are financed mainly through equity. This ratio is crucial for bankers, investors, and economists to assess a company's financial health, lending risk, and ability to meet financial obligations. Step 2: Next, determine the total number of shares of the company before the issuance of new shares, and NT denotes it. If your opponent is betting heavily into you it is probable that do not hold the best hand, but nonetheless, you will have the most equity almost regardless of what you opponent holds. Diese Formel sieht etwas monströs aus und kaum einer wird eine. We purposefully use the word “outright” since there are plenty of times in poker where a single bet may be outright +EV or -EV, but in the context. Shareholders' equity may be calculated by subtracting its total liabilities from its total assets —both of which are itemized on a company's balance sheet. It has played I think turn shove, well yes I love the fact that we’re being. . #1 Nearly every bet we make in poker has something to do with fold. It's quite apparent that using the above formula to determine whether or not you have the right odds to call can be a laborious process. Also gives you pot odds as well. 3409 x $252 = $85. Your equity is about 88% of the pot, or $88. 40, 1 fold, BB raises $1. An important thing to mention here is that sometimes we can encounter a fold equity equation that follows the formula: [the probability of opponent folding] * [opponent’s equity in the hand]. You'll need another $60+ worth of equity for your turn bet of $150 to make sense, or in the. The fold equity that your shove has makes the move profitable. Net borrowings = Short Term Debt + Long Term Debt = 10 + 5 = $15 million. This will help you determine the frequency you should bluff. Fold-equity – Fold-equity expresses as a percentage, the likelihood of an opponent folding when facing a bet. Last. Shareholder’s equity of company ABC Ltd= $168,000. 62. 3/100 So, the fold equity is 54. Although the concept is pretty simple, it’s not that easy to know when to apply fold equity. Fold equity is a concept in poker strategy that is especially important when a player becomes short-stacked in a no limit (or possibly pot limit) tournament. 2. To our surprise the Nit in the BB (with a 3b of 3%) 3bets us. Depending on the return both of these companies make at the end of the period, we. The effective stack, or how much you are shoving. A fold equity calculator is a powerful tool that you can use to see how often your opponent must fold when you are shoving your stack. The fold equity that your shove has makes the move profitable. of the button's range will not be strong. Folding a hand with one out on the river doesn’t cost you much, as you probably weren’t going to win anyway. 34. Furthermore, BB simply cannot realize their equity. Bubble play in MTTs. 45 × 1000 +0. Relinquishing 100% of your equity that often is a surefire way to not only leave part of the pot out on the felt – but also to make yourself a huge target for competent players. 95 / 10^7. e. raised when folded to in the cutoff, button, or small blind. If you can make a bet or raise and have your opponent fold 100% of the time, then obviously, you have 100% equity in the hand. Basically “Fold Equity” in poker is the percentage of times your opponents will fold once you make a bet. Our extensive guide below will help you to find expected value in any hand and quickly make the right. The R-squared formula is calculated by dividing the sum of the first errors by the sum of the second errors and subtracting the derivation from 1. Planet 7 accepts USA players, although their payouts and lack of live dealers could be improved. Based on the standard EV equation for a bet, we find: FE >= (Bet -X)/ (Pot + Bet -X) where X = Eq* (Pot + 2*Bet)There are two general rules for a hand’s playability relating to equity realization: The stronger a hand is, the more equity it will realize. The term “fold equity” is ambiguous in the poker community. A typical line is to go for flop check-raises or turn check-shoves out of position against aggressive opponents. , 12%). There’s no simple formula to follow but there are a few key factors that must be considered. e. One common. It is the equity a player can expect to gain due to the opponent folding to his or her bets. The application of the minimum fold-equity formula leaves players making pretty big mistakes in their range construction OOP. The home is currently appraised at $500,000 and the renovations will cost $100,000 – but they're also expected to increase the value of the home by $250,000. You gain EV from folding worse hands that can outdraw you, however, you also gain EV when worse hands call you. We “win” when our opponent folds. Let’s plug that into the MDF formula: $75 / ($75 + $37. . To calculate equity value from enterprise value, subtract debt and debt equivalents, non-controlling interest and preferred stock, and add cash and. The % chance that your opponent will fold is based on your knowledge of your opponent. Simply put: you bet or raise because you think it's +EV (expected value), not because you probably have the best hand, but because your opponent will fold often enough to make this move profitable. 80. The current pot size. We gain 40% equity by betting this hand and getting our opponent to fold half of the time. Fold Equity Definition. - Sangat penting untuk diingat bahwa rumus ekuitas selisih minimum hanya menghasilkan perkiraan yang harus. You hold Q J on a flop of T 9 4. What do you do? Equity dictates you fold, because now you are a 2 to 1 underdog to win the hand, and. The higher your opponent’s fold to check-raise percentage, the more fold equity you have. ($256 + $340 * 2 + $130) * 10% - $340. I've read in 'Let There Be Range' that you can calculate fold equity by plugging numbers into a fold equity formula. The second part is the equity obtained when the opponent(s) fold to your raise (i. We calculate this a little differently than poker equity, factoring in the likelihood that the opponent will fold to a particular bet or raise. what is fold equity? View Plans & Pricing If you are signed in and are seeing this message, please be sure you have selected a user name in My Profile. After all, the more players who fold during the round. 9 * (9% - 1%) = 8. Essentially, the more villain folds and we pick up the pot outright the better for us. Page 2 of 2 First. What is required fold equity? Fold equity is the probability that a player will fold versus a bet or raise. Fold equity is one of the other important poker terms that may be a bit harder to calculate than direct pot odds. 2. In this case, the total pot is $150 and it’s $50 to call, so the pot would be $200 ($150 total pot + your $50 call) if you call. With this formula, the money won and lost will remain constant, but changes in ranges and frequencies can alter the outcome a ton. B = shove amount. Page 2 of 2. g. Besides a no-deposit bonus, they offer a deposit bonus up to 450%. Hand equity% × ICM EV of win + (100 - equity%) × ICM EV of lose > ICM EV of fold. Breiman [] and Thorp [] demonstrate that the final wealth of the player W n exceed any fixed bound M when 0 < f < f c, but not for a finite number of trials. Fold Equity Formula. so if bet sizing incentives largely relate to nut advantage and the value of fold equity, what happens in situations where these contradict each other. 505. Although the concept is pretty simple, it’s not that easy to know when to apply fold equity. To calculate the paid-in-kind interest, the formula consists of the PIK rate being multiplied by the beginning balance of the applicable debt security or preferred equity. Given a dividend per share that. If equity is positive, the company has enough assets to cover its liabilities. Definition of fold equity. I think that a lot of people understand pot odds. For example, if you go all-in preflop with Pocket Aces and another player calls with Pocket Kings, there is. Hi, I just tried deriving a formula for how much fold equity we need for a bluff to be profitable: legend: FE: fold equity e: equity We assume t. This fold equity calculator needs 4 pieces of information before it can work: 1. Situations Where You Probably Have Fold Equity. The formula for dilution derives by using the following steps: Step 1: First, determine the number of shares the subject shareholder holds (A in this case), and NA denotes it. Fold Equity Refinements Blockers & Card Removal Backdoor Draws Advanced EV Formula Game Theory 101 ICM Probabilities Common Probabilities Variance & Results Entering Pots Preflop Being Table Captain Flop Dynamics Types of Flops Streets of Value Cognition 101 Professionalism Writing & Saving Your Hands How To Study Your Hands A-Game Embracing. The minimum defense frequency is always one minus Alpha and in that case, it would equal 3/4. Shareholder’s Equity = Total Assets – Total Liabilities. When the time length is a year, which is the. The result as for the formula is then fe_min = 0. (pot $400) The first line of The EV calculator is the “expected profit” Should I plug in $400? that’s the pot $240 + cbet of$160 . Is all-in equity as important in such small bb formats? I feel like the all-in adjusted equity is skewed and doesn't include the fold equity you're getting, and the blinds that you steal. However, this definition misses something obvious – fold equity is relative to your hand! Put another way, the value gained from. Firstly, it’s an EV equation, not an equity equation. Therefore, if they bet, their equity increases to 30% (actual equity) + 56% (fold equity) = 86%! The formula is as follows: a = b / (b + p) So, for example, if he bets a third of the pot on the river, the pot is 75 and he bets 25. Explanation. You need increased equity, a solid image, a nice read (like a fold to turn cbet >55%) or some good scare cards (Q, K, A) to pull this off. Re: Formula de Fold Equity. When it comes to exploiting, or even just in general when bluffing, especially on the river, a useful formula is the break-even formula (risk vs reward calculation) BE% = RISK / (RISK + REWARD) So if Mia bets $100 into a pot of $100, this bluff would need to work more than 50% of the time to be profitable. Many players just picked up a deck of cards.